Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 3.953713 4.255108 4.577835 4.950728 5.371748 5.834798 6.385930
2025-04-13 3.383554 3.789111 4.251156 4.822702 5.519556 6.353619 7.446506
2025-04-20 3.070524 3.528800 4.072859 4.778287 5.687289 6.847014 8.487958
2025-04-27 2.911404 3.418720 4.042259 4.884416 6.024761 7.568849 9.924259
2025-05-04 2.793326 3.340454 4.033245 5.003133 6.376770 8.343698 11.574827
2025-05-11 2.649182 3.212926 3.943486 4.995848 6.541868 8.862286 12.930693
2025-05-18 2.531963 3.109335 3.873239 5.002617 6.719337 9.414803 14.458332
2025-05-25 2.377913 2.945242 3.706678 4.853072 6.638515 9.535658 15.229782
2025-06-01 2.254213 2.814401 3.576417 4.743658 6.604590 9.723408 16.166248
2025-06-08 2.179051 2.745381 3.527677 4.750174 6.753564 10.244122 17.915872
2025-06-15 2.133218 2.713944 3.529538 4.832239 7.033464 11.042661 20.529055
2025-06-22 2.024519 2.587849 3.385429 4.673144 6.882580 10.998722 21.124763
2025-06-29 1.923827 2.473748 3.260303 4.547671 6.800240 11.122088 22.323101
2025-07-06 1.833468 2.371457 3.148780 4.438610 6.740932 11.294951 23.774975
2025-07-13 1.768334 2.302531 3.083345 4.399596 6.804367 11.736785 26.219519
2025-07-20 1.740259 2.286303 3.096942 4.493166 7.127509 12.816762 31.341275
2025-07-27 1.716445 2.274805 3.116509 4.597671 7.485329 14.068764 38.144347
2025-08-03 1.670213 2.227033 3.075451 4.591262 7.616986 14.797528 43.576943
2025-08-10 1.629769 2.186172 3.042990 4.597217 7.774703 15.636431 50.495503
2025-08-17 1.564257 2.104092 2.939475 4.465547 7.620729 15.584627 52.731531
2025-08-24 1.509563 2.036933 2.857614 4.369046 7.534916 15.715225 56.293630
2025-08-31 1.477831 2.004386 2.831338 4.374797 7.678513 16.560747 65.738501
2025-09-07 1.460256 1.993255 2.839972 4.447183 7.984108 18.003733 82.905829